following information about betting and getting an edge
has been learned by the Expertform team through years of
experience, research and bad experiences. It may be common
knowledge to some of you but might also help you get the
edge we are all looking for when placing a bet.
should always consider using a staking plan.
Haphazard betting can only lead to tears despite betting
off a good strike rate (strike rate is the percentage of
winning bets to total bets placed)
Staking plans control the betting and help lead the punter
The perfect staking plan is to bet to win a fixed amount
per bet (say $10) and also recover losses.
Simply, this means at the end of the year, if you have had
500 bets, and the final bet wins, your bank balance should
However, this only will work off a high strike rate system.
A punter with a string of five losses is trying to win $60
(6 x $10) on the sixth bet, plus all lost outlays, then
the bet could be chasing in excess of $100. If it is an
even money chance then the outlay is $100 - a loss and you
are chasing $210.
In other words, you need a substantial bank to support this
system. The rule of thumb with some pro punters is that
a bank of $5000 is required to support each $1 chased.
The best way to ensure you get the most value when you find a winner is to have an account that offers the best
We believe Sportsbet's City Best is the premium product
in this area. City Best offers the best of the three main
totes or the starting price at the time of jump. It's essentially
best the price available so when you find the winner, you
ensure you take full advantage of the rewards.
City Best is an internet product that Sportsbet offer,
however the do offer a vast variety of other products.
To check out Sportsbet now Click
EARLY = BEST VALUE
advantage of betting early is the availability of the BEST
FLUCTUATION (Top Fluc) product.
Most corporate bookmakers offer this product, but punters
need to bet early to get this service.
Top Fluc is simply the best price that is bet through bookmakers,
i.e. opening price $5, drifts to $7 mid betting, then firms
into $4.50. The Top Fluc for the punters is $7.
Obviously, punters who bet within 30 minutes of the start
of the race cannot take advantage of this product as they
already know the betting fluctuations. You can also be caught
out if a horse opens short is well supported and never really
gets out in betting, eg. opens at $2.00 and is backed into
$1.80. The Top Fluc is $2.00
Still, top fluc can be an extremely valuable betting product.
best guide to following betting fluctuations is through
the corporate betting sites like Sportsbet that reflects
the true money movements.
Tote fluctuations can be misleading. The opening
price comes off a small pool and doesn't reflect the true
price value of the horses.
It is common to see a horse firm on the "tote"
$11 into $5.50, but does this mean he has been heavily backed
by people "in the know"?
A check on bookmaker prices, the "real" price
bet with bookmakers show a price drift from $4.50 to $6.00.
So in other words, the so called heavily backed firmer,
is in fact only levelling to the a similar value offered
with bookmakers - and could easily be, and often is, an
unwanted horse in betting where the serious money goes on.
This doesn't mean that all tote fluctuations are misleading,
but punters should be very wary of taking them as "gospel".
is a form of wagering that has lost some favour since bookmakers
have introduced "best fluctuation" betting.
SP is the starting price of a horse with the bookmakers
and it is a redundant bet if you are can get Best Fluc.
However, if Best Fluc is not available - due to the fact
it is within 30 minutes of the start - then SP provides
an alternative to risking variable tote prices.
The alternative to this, of course, is to bet fixed odds
so that you know exactly waht price you are getting. Although
you ma miss a better fluctuation you can be confident that
your price is concrete. This is handy information when using
a staking plan as you can bet to win your desired amnount.